Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.038797 0.042218 0.045666 0.049396 0.053311 0.057292 0.061640
2025-10-12 0.033291 0.038338 0.043597 0.049463 0.055799 0.062413 0.069817
2025-10-19 0.029460 0.035698 0.042392 0.050054 0.058528 0.067561 0.077868
2025-10-26 0.026457 0.033597 0.041465 0.050678 0.061072 0.072349 0.085419
2025-11-02 0.022571 0.030133 0.038700 0.048966 0.060783 0.073821 0.089158
2025-11-09 0.020003 0.027958 0.037200 0.048501 0.061734 0.076543 0.094177
2025-11-16 0.017915 0.026175 0.036000 0.048243 0.062801 0.079299 0.099157
2025-11-23 0.016966 0.025699 0.036288 0.049678 0.065791 0.084228 0.106597
2025-11-30 0.015979 0.025087 0.036339 0.050770 0.068332 0.088607 0.113391
2025-12-07 0.014912 0.024286 0.036087 0.051435 0.070320 0.092311 0.119383
2025-12-14 0.013702 0.023206 0.035411 0.051515 0.071553 0.095090 0.124269
2025-12-21 0.013070 0.022861 0.035639 0.052695 0.074105 0.099423 0.130983
2025-12-28 0.011661 0.021369 0.034335 0.051923 0.074269 0.100938 0.134427
2026-01-04 0.010774 0.020559 0.033888 0.052214 0.075733 0.104012 0.139735
2026-01-11 0.010115 0.020034 0.033790 0.052932 0.077713 0.107706 0.145788
2026-01-18 0.009502 0.019534 0.033693 0.053627 0.079652 0.111344 0.151780
2026-01-25 0.008157 0.017804 0.031806 0.051877 0.078417 0.111041 0.152967
2026-02-01 0.007324 0.016814 0.030908 0.051406 0.078788 0.112693 0.156511
2026-02-08 0.006622 0.015979 0.030189 0.051143 0.079400 0.114625 0.160385
2026-02-15 0.006447 0.016019 0.030746 0.052634 0.082309 0.119442 0.167820
2026-02-22 0.006189 0.015897 0.031050 0.053767 0.084745 0.123670 0.174539
2026-03-01 0.005839 0.015584 0.031047 0.054457 0.086590 0.127150 0.180339
2026-03-08 0.005369 0.015015 0.030629 0.054540 0.087614 0.129582 0.184837